Delta Porto Tolle vs Castiglione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delta Porto Tolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
RIM
2 - 1
DEL
60%
22%
19%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 1
VIN
55%
23%
22%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
DEL
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DEL
0 - 2
VIR
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castiglione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 1
BV5
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 2
CUN
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
RIM
1 - 2
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 2
REN
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 1
FCC
80%
14%
6%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |