Delfín vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delfín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 1
DEL
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
DEL
1 - 1
AUC
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEL
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DEL
2 - 2
CUE
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LIG
2 - 1
DEL
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BSC
1 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEL
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
FAM
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EME
2 - 2
NAC
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |