Delemont vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
71.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Delemont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 3
DEL
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DEL
1 - 1
SIO
35%
25%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
DEL
44%
23%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
DEL
0 - 2
YFJ
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TUG
2 - 0
DEL
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
GNK
2 - 0
FCL
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SER
0 - 2
FCL
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
GNK
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 2
GCZ
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |