Challenger League Playoffs Ascenso Final
Global 2-3
Deinze vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deinze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 1
DEI
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
DEI
2 - 1
PAT
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 4
DEI
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
DEI
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DEI
3 - 2
LOM
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 1
DEI
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
LOM
1 - 0
ZUL
44%
24%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ZUL
1 - 1
LOM
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
LOM
3 - 1
WAA
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DEI
3 - 2
LOM
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |