Deinze vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
6º
2º
23
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
40 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 17 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
23 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deinze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
LOM
4 - 1
DEI
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
STL
1 - 2
DEI
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEI
5 - 0
STL
57%
23%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
DEI
3 - 1
OOS
50%
22%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEI
1 - 1
LOM
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
DEN
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
0 - 1
LOM
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LOM
1 - 2
EXC
67%
21%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
KRC
1 - 1
EXC
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
1 - 0
STL
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |