Degumnieki vs Kalupe analysis


5	ELO	16
8.7%	Tilt	0%
43981º	General ELO ranking	43947º
171º	Country ELO ranking	166º
ELO win probability

12%

Degumnieki

16.4%

Draw

71.5%

Kalupe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

12%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%

16.4%

Draw

0-0

3.2%

1-1

7.5%

2-2

4.4%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

16.4%

71.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%