Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Degerfors IF vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1993 |
DEG
1 - 1
ORE
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1993 |
ORG
1 - 1
DEG
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1993 |
MFF
0 - 1
DEG
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1993 |
DEG
4 - 2
HEL
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
HAL
6 - 1
DEG
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
PAR
2 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1993 |
LAZ
2 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
62%
24%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
UDI
0 - 1
PAR
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1993 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |