Degerfors IF vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
16º
15º
62
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Degerfors IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
AIK
2 - 0
DEG
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DEG
1 - 0
HÄC
20%
23%
58%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DJU
4 - 1
DEG
62%
21%
16%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
KFK
0 - 3
DEG
2%
9%
88%
|
69 | 10 | 59 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DEG
1 - 2
GÖT
35%
27%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 3
MFF
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MFF
2 - 2
GÖT
53%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SIR
1 - 3
MFF
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SME
0 - 2
MFF
4%
12%
84%
|
80 | 37 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MFF
0 - 0
DJU
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |