Defensores de Cambaceres vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
9º
4º
23
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 2
CAM
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
SBA
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 2
CAM
15%
21%
64%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 0
MER
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
CAM
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
1 - 1
LUG
31%
25%
44%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 0
MUÑ
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
CBA
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MER
3 - 2
MUÑ
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 2
ARR
42%
26%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |