Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
9º
4º
25
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ARR
3 - 1
CAM
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
JUU
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 1
CAM
21%
24%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
POR
2 - 1
CAM
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MER
3 - 2
MUÑ
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 1
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
MER
0 - 0
SBA
30%
24%
47%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 0
MER
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MER
1 - 1
ARR
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |