Defensores de Cambaceres vs Mercedes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
DPA
0 - 1
CAM
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 1
MUÑ
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
JUU
1 - 3
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 0
SBA
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 0
CAM
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mercedes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MER
1 - 2
LUG
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
ARR
0 - 1
MER
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MER
3 - 0
CBA
43%
24%
33%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YUP
3 - 1
MER
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MER
0 - 0
CES
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |