Defensores de Cambaceres vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 1
TAL
24%
27%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
CAM
55%
24%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 2
CCO
32%
29%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
MID
1 - 2
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
CAM
0 - 2
SAC
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
ARQ
1 - 1
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
ARQ
3 - 1
EXC
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CCO
0 - 0
ARQ
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
BER
1 - 0
ARQ
34%
26%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 1
ARQ
42%
25%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |