Defensores de Cambaceres vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
CCO
1 - 2
CAM
31%
28%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 0
CAM
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAM
4 - 1
EXC
55%
27%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
LAM
49%
26%
25%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
LIN
0 - 1
CAM
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 1
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
ARQ
5 - 0
ARM
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
ARM
4 - 0
SAC
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MID
0 - 1
ARM
43%
28%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
ARM
0 - 0
STM
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |