Def. Unidos vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FEN
1 - 2
CAD
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAD
0 - 4
COL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AND
1 - 0
CAD
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 1
ARQ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
JJU
4 - 1
CAD
50%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
VSC
1 - 1
FEN
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
VSC
59%
24%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
VSC
1 - 1
AND
23%
28%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ARQ
1 - 1
VSC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
VSC
3 - 1
JJU
24%
27%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |