Def. Unidos vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
CAD
60%
25%
16%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
JJU
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
CAD
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
BER
52%
26%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
LUJ
52%
26%
22%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAM
1 - 0
LUJ
53%
27%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LUJ
0 - 0
RIE
19%
25%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -3 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
TAL
1 - 1
LUJ
63%
23%
14%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |