Def. Unidos vs JJ Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DOC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
1 - 0
BER
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
CAD
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
CAD
3 - 0
LAM
50%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
RIE
2 - 0
CAD
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
BER
2 - 2
JJU
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
MID
46%
26%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 0
JJU
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
JJU
1 - 1
RIE
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TAL
0 - 0
JJU
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |