Def. Unidos vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DOC
2 - 3
CAD
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 0
ITA
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 2
CAD
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ITU
1 - 0
CAD
34%
28%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAD
1 - 0
TAL
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
SAC
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
MID
1 - 3
ESP
35%
27%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 2
STM
53%
26%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
BER
54%
25%
22%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
LAF
2 - 1
ESP
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |