Def. Unidos vs Arg. Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
CAM
2 - 1
CAD
55%
24%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAD
1 - 2
EXC
54%
26%
21%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CCO
0 - 0
CAD
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 1
MID
69%
19%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
CAD
4 - 4
DOC
41%
26%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arg. Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ARQ
1 - 0
ARM
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LAM
1 - 2
ARQ
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ARQ
1 - 0
SMG
52%
25%
23%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2015 |
LAF
1 - 1
ARQ
56%
23%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
ARQ
2 - 2
JUU
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |