Def. Unidos vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
DOC
3 - 0
CAD
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CAD
0 - 1
POR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LUJ
3 - 0
CAD
32%
28%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
GIM
3 - 0
CAD
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ARM
0 - 0
CAD
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
TAL
0 - 1
ARM
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 1
FEN
38%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
LAM
1 - 0
ARM
41%
29%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 3
LAF
31%
31%
38%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |