Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Sportivo Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
5º
8º
8º
29
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
DHA
3 - 0
DPR
59%
25%
16%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
DPR
0 - 0
IND
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 1
GIM
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIN
4 - 0
DPR
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
3 - 1
9DJ
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sportivo Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
9DJ
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SLP
0 - 0
SPB
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 0
SPB
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 1
DHA
28%
28%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
0 - 2
SPB
40%
28%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |