Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
8º
6º
33
4º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
DPR
54%
26%
20%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DPR
0 - 3
SLP
30%
28%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
DPR
22%
25%
54%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DPR
3 - 3
DFR
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SPB
3 - 0
DPR
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GIM
3 - 1
DFR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 0
GIM
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GIM
2 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
DHA
1 - 0
GIM
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
GIM
0 - 0
IND
39%
29%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |