Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
35.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 3
DPR
46%
27%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
DPR
2 - 0
JUV
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SLP
1 - 0
DPR
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
JUV
3 - 0
DPR
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
DPR
1 - 0
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
DHA
2 - 2
PAR
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 1
DHA
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
DHA
3 - 1
SLP
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
DCA
0 - 0
DHA
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
DHA
1 - 0
DCA
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |