Copa Argentina 1/64
Global 2-4
Def. de Pronunciamiento vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. de Pronunciamiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
GIM
0 - 3
DPR
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DPR
1 - 2
GIM
34%
25%
42%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 1
DHA
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 1
DPR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 0
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
DFR
1 - 1
DHA
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DHA
0 - 0
DFR
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
DPR
1 - 1
DHA
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
DHA
2 - 2
SLP
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
DHA
4 - 1
SPB
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |