Defensores Belgrano VR vs Unión Villa Krause analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
DFR
1 - 1
TFE
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
DFR
0 - 2
TAL
34%
27%
40%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
IND
0 - 3
DFR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
0 - 0
DFR
49%
26%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
GIM
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SLO
0 - 0
UNI
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 1
JUU
29%
26%
46%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AND
0 - 1
UNI
28%
23%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 4
MAI
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |