Defensores Belgrano VR vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DFR
0 - 1
FER
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 1
DFR
37%
28%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DFR
4 - 1
CGB
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AGR
1 - 1
DFR
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
DFR
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 0
AGR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
FER
2 - 0
RIV
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 1
ALV
40%
29%
30%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 3
RIV
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
DFR
28%
29%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |