Defensores Belgrano VR vs Rivadavia Lincoln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 0
DFR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
ALV
44%
26%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 1
DFR
64%
23%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
DFR
0 - 0
GBR
17%
24%
59%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
DFR
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rivadavia Lincoln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIV
0 - 0
UNI
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
DES
5 - 1
RIV
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RIV
4 - 3
GIM
46%
27%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
RAO
2 - 2
RIV
37%
27%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 2
CIP
32%
28%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |