Copa Argentina 1/64
Global 5-3
Defensores Belgrano VR vs La Emilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
15.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.6%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
EMI
1 - 4
DFR
9%
20%
70%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
DFR
1 - 3
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
DFR
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
DFR
3 - 1
SLO
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 2
DFR
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Emilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
EMI
1 - 4
DFR
9%
20%
70%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
EMI
1 - 1
DPR
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
DPR
2 - 0
EMI
67%
18%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
EMI
5 - 0
SAR
41%
25%
35%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 2
EMI
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |