Defensores Belgrano VR vs Juventud Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
ALV
0 - 1
DFR
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
RSA
2 - 0
DFR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DFR
2 - 0
MAI
29%
29%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 0
DFR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 0
RSA
25%
28%
47%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Juventud Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
JUU
3 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
DES
1 - 1
JUU
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
JUU
1 - 1
GIM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
RAO
1 - 1
JUU
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
JUU
2 - 1
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |