Defensores Belgrano VR vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 0
DFR
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
DFR
2 - 2
RSA
27%
29%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
DFR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
DES
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
2 - 0
DFR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
GBR
3 - 0
CSE
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
MAI
2 - 0
GBR
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GIM
1 - 0
GBR
33%
28%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
GBR
2 - 1
RAO
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 1
GBR
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |