Defensores Belgrano VR vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
RSA
0 - 0
DFR
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CIP
3 - 0
DFR
63%
21%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SMA
1 - 0
DFR
69%
21%
11%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DFR
1 - 3
DHA
30%
28%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UNI
3 - 0
DFR
52%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 3
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
DES
0 - 0
GBR
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
GBR
0 - 2
QUI
32%
28%
39%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
IRV
1 - 0
GBR
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
GBR
1 - 1
ALM
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |