Defensores Belgrano VR vs Gimnasia Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
1º
11
6º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
DFR
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
3 - 0
DPR
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 2
DFR
44%
28%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
SLP
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 0
SPB
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gimnasia Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
SPB
24%
27%
50%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
GIM
68%
22%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 0
IND
31%
30%
39%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
GIM
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 1
GIM
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |