Torneo Federal A PlayOffs Last 16
Global 4-5
Defensores Belgrano VR vs Sportivo Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 2
DFR
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DFR
3 - 1
RIV
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
JUU
2 - 2
DFR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
CIP
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
DFR
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 2
DFR
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CSE
3 - 1
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
CSE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CSE
0 - 1
JUU
36%
28%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
CIP
2 - 1
CSE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |