Defensores Belgrano VR vs El Linqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
34.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
1º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DPR
1 - 0
DFR
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DFR
2 - 0
9DJ
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SLP
1 - 2
DFR
48%
27%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SPB
0 - 3
DFR
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DFR
2 - 0
UNI
42%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPB
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
64%
23%
13%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 0
IND
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GIM
0 - 1
LIN
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
LIN
59%
24%
17%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |