Defensores Belgrano VR vs Douglas Haig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
5º
1º
19
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
DFR
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
1 - 1
GIM
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 2
DFR
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DFR
3 - 0
DPR
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
9DJ
0 - 2
DFR
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Douglas Haig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 0
SPB
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
DHA
24%
29%
47%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DHA
0 - 1
GIM
68%
22%
10%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
LIN
0 - 1
DHA
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DHA
3 - 0
DPR
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |