Defensores Belgrano VR vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
44.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
DFR
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
1 - 1
DES
37%
28%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GIM
2 - 0
DFR
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
DFR
0 - 2
RAO
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 5
DFR
46%
27%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ARS
2 - 0
RSA
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
DES
0 - 0
RSA
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
RSA
1 - 3
GIM
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RAO
4 - 0
RSA
26%
27%
47%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
RSA
3 - 0
RIV
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |