Defensores Belgrano VR vs Atlético Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 1
BEL
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
MIT
0 - 1
DFR
46%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DFR
0 - 2
MIT
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
DFR
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
DFR
2 - 1
UNI
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
RSA
26%
28%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
IRV
1 - 1
PAR
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 3
BUC
30%
27%
42%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
CCS
1 - 2
PAR
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 3
ALM
35%
31%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |