Defensores Belgrano VR vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
1 - 1
DFR
26%
28%
46%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
DFR
3 - 0
TIR
68%
19%
13%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
DFR
1 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 2
DFR
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
DFR
4 - 0
CGB
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 2
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CGB
2 - 1
ALV
42%
28%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TIR
0 - 0
ALV
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
ALV
0 - 2
DFR
30%
29%
41%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
ALV
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +3 |