Defensor Tacna vs Altiplano y del Pacífico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
49.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
DET
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Altiplano y del Pacífico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
APA
1 - 0
DRJ
15%
17%
68%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |