Defensor Tacna vs Tacna Heroica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Tacna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 1
DET
66%
18%
16%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DET
1 - 1
APA
30%
21%
50%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
DET
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 1
DET
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
EGB
34%
21%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 0
VAL
5%
12%
82%
|
11 | 68 | 57 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
6 - 2
EGB
88%
10%
3%
|
13 | 65 | 52 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EGB
2 - 0
HUA
5%
15%
80%
|
11 | 65 | 54 | +2 |