Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 9-2
Defensor Sporting vs Sport Huancayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2010 |
OLI
1 - 1
DEF
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
LFC
48%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LFC
3 - 0
DEF
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Huancayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
HUA
0 - 0
LEO
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
LEO
5 - 2
HUA
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 1
ALI
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
HUA
1 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SBO
3 - 1
HUA
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |