Defensor Sporting vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1990 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1990 |
DEF
1 - 2
RIV
29%
28%
44%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1990 |
DEF
0 - 4
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 2
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1992 |
AME
0 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
30%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
AME
4 - 4
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
TAC
3 - 0
AME
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -2 |