Defensor Sporting vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
DEP
2 - 1
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 2
BOS
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
DEF
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 0
ALB
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
TAC
0 - 3
ROC
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 2
CSC
38%
28%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
ROC
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 1
JUV
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |