Defensor Sporting vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 3
DEF
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
DEF
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 1
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
RAC
0 - 3
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
BVS
1 - 0
RIV
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
FEN
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MWA
1 - 2
RIV
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
ETS
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
CSM
1 - 1
RIV
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |