Defensor Sporting vs Rampla Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FEN
3 - 0
DEF
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 4
CEN
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 1
DAN
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ATE
3 - 1
DEF
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
1 - 0
TAC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 1
JUN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 1
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 1
MWA
35%
26%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 2
CER
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |