Defensor Sporting vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
6º
14º
7º
27
3º
13º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 9 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 2
JUN
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
DEF
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DEF
0 - 1
RIV
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
RAC
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 2
RAC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
HUA
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RAC
0 - 1
MWA
49%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |