Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
4 - 2
LFC
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FEN
0 - 1
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
0 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
3 - 2
PEÑ
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
UCH
2 - 1
PEÑ
44%
24%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
RAC
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
UCH
61%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |