Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1994 |
VEL
0 - 0
DEF
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
VEL
27%
26%
47%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
1 - 1
UNI
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
DEF
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1995 |
RIV
2 - 3
PEÑ
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
RIV
41%
29%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 3
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
PEÑ
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |