Defensor Sporting vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BOC
2 - 0
DEF
82%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1977 |
DEF
0 - 0
BOC
35%
24%
41%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1977 |
BOC
1 - 0
PEÑ
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
BOC
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 1
PEÑ
71%
19%
11%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1977 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |