Defensor Sporting vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
1 - 1
STR
60%
20%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
DEF
0 - 3
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
0 - 1
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
STR
2 - 0
DEF
46%
23%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
DEF
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
5 - 0
OPE
85%
9%
5%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
STR
3 - 2
OPE
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
0 - 1
DEF
43%
23%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 3
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1980 |
OPE
1 - 0
STR
51%
21%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |