Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-2
Defensor Sporting vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1992 |
AME
0 - 0
DEF
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
DEF
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1992 |
NAC
2 - 3
DEF
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
1 - 2
AME
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
DEF
2 - 3
CCP
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1992 |
DCM
0 - 0
NOB
34%
33%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1992 |
NOB
1 - 1
ESP
63%
23%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
FER
0 - 1
NOB
37%
33%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1992 |
NOB
0 - 0
UCO
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
NOB
2 - 2
VEL
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |